Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Never Tell Me The Odds


According to www.sportsclubstats.com, the Cubs' odds to make the playoffs as either a division winner or a wild card team are at 48.3%. Their odds increased by 4.5% with yesterday's win over the Cincinnatti Reds, a win that put them a percentage point ahead of St. Louis in the standings.

This made me curious as to what the BLT supercomputer would find the Cubs playoff odds to be. It turns out that when we entered all of our data we came up with a slightly larger number. According to our calculations, the Cubs odds to make the playoffs are at exactly 50%, either they will or they won't. For you gamblers out there, we also found that the Cubs had those exact same odds to win tonight's game.

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